Stop Urban Sprawl

Against the gradual construction of homes in the East of England.

They are already struggling to connect power to the grid. Then they want another 1,367,880 homes.

Look at the transmission connection queue for the grid supply points serving these districts. Thousands of megawatts of solar, battery storage and other generation are not built yet — not because the panels do not exist, but because getting a firm date to plug into the grid already runs into the 2030s. Nationally the queue is heavily oversubscribed: 739GW of projects were waiting as of December 2024, around four times what is needed for 2030.

That is the supply side struggling. Now add the demand side. At the government's formula rate, the East of England is on course for another 1,367,880 homes over thirty years — each one more load than the house it replaces a generation ago. A heat pump and an electric car are not the load our village substations were sized for in 1970.

So the story is simple: they cannot yet connect the power we already need to build, and they are approving the homes that will need still more of it. The gap widens from both ends.

By district — power still waiting to connect

At grid supply points serving these districts, about 12,061 MW of generation and storage across 33 projects is not yet built — with connection dates from 2026 (median 2032). That is the supply side already stuck. Approving another 1,367,880 homes over thirty years adds demand on top.

DistrictGrid supply pointWaiting MWEarliest year
FenlandWalpole3,2672026
BaberghBramford1,8062026
BraintreeBramford1,8062026
Mid SuffolkBramford1,8062026
ColchesterBramford1,8062026
TendringBramford1,8062026
IpswichBramford1,8062026
East SuffolkSizewell1,6702035
HuntingdonshireEaton Socon1,5502028
MaldonRayleigh1,5452028
ChelmsfordRayleigh1,5452028
CambridgeBurwell1,0442029
East CambridgeshireBurwell1,0442029
South CambridgeshireBurwell1,0442029
West SuffolkBurwell1,0442029
UttlesfordPelham7302032
East HertfordshirePelham7302032
North HertfordshireRye House0

Source: NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) register: megawatts of generation and storage not yet Built at East Anglia grid supply points mapped to districts — evidence the supply side is already waiting to connect (not UKPN secondary substation headroom — that portal requires registration).

Questions

Isn't the queue about wind farms and batteries, not housing?
Yes — and that is the point. The figures show generation and storage already waiting years to connect. Housing is the other half of the problem: another 1,367,880 homes over thirty years add demand while that supply is still stuck. Local network headroom is a separate constraint again, and that one bites villages directly.
Won't connections reform fix it?
It should improve the supply queue, and we want it to. But reform sorts what is strategically important and ready. It does not turn four hundred village estates into a reason to reinforce the network, and it does not stop us approving the homes while the power is still waiting.
Isn't this an argument against heat pumps and EVs?
The opposite. Electrification is the right direction and it means more load per home. That is precisely why connecting supply — and where we put the homes — matters more than it used to, not less.
So you're just NIMBYs.
We want homes built where the substation gets built too, on a grid that can actually take the power. Nobody has ever reinforced a network for a hundred and fifty houses.
Where would you put them instead?
Somewhere large enough to be planned for as a grid project — with its own reinforcement — rather than as a slow leak of local headroom while the supply queue runs into the 2030s.
Where do your figures come from?
NESO Transmission Entry Capacity register for grid supply points serving these districts: megawatts and effective years for generation and storage projects that are not yet built. That is the supply-side connection struggle. Housing totals use the government's standard method. UKPN secondary headroom tables need a free portal login we have not wired in yet. If we have got something wrong, email corrections@stopurbansprawl.uk and we will fix it and say what changed.

What's planned near us?

Find the district page for where we live.

All infrastructure topics · The numbers · Corrections

It's clear we don't have enough infrastructure already. So how can the government expect to build another 1,367,880 homes?

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